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UMphathiswa weMithombo yeziMbiwa naMandla upapashe iSicwangciso esiHlangeneyo seziBonelelo sowama-2023, kwaye uyakucela ukuba uhlomle.
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2734 Izimvo zisiwe kurhulumente (kuvalwe nge-23 kaMatshi 2024)

cofa ikhonkco ngolwazi oluthe kratya

UMphathiswa weMithombo yeziMbiwa naMandla ucele uluntu ukuba luhlomle malunga noYilo lweSicwangciso esiDibeneyo seziBonelelo

Yiba nelizwi lakho – yimba uyilo lwe-IRP. [IVALIWE]

Impazamo: Ifomu yoqhagamshelwano ayifumanekanga.

D-umfanekiso

UYilo lweSicwangciso esiDibeneyo seziBonelelo (IRP)

Uyilo lwe-IRP luphakamisa iimeko ezintlanu zamandla - imixube enokwenzeka yokuvelisa umbane:

    1. a "Reference Case", ecebisa ukuba wonke umbane owongezelelweyo wenziwe ngesiqingatha ngegesi kunye nesiqingatha ngamandla omoya kunye nelanga.
    2. a "Umoya ovuselelekayo" imeko, apho kungekho malahle amatsha, inyukliya kunye nezityalo zerhasi zakhiweyo, isinye kwisithathu samandla elanga bubuchwepheshe be-photovoltaic, intsalela njengamandla agxininisiweyo elanga.
    3. a "Enokuhlaziywa kwakhona kunye neNyukliya" Imeko, apho malunga ne-15,000MW yezakhiwo ezitsha zenyukliya zibonelela ngombane okubalelwa kumandla elanga agxininisiweyo phantsi kwemeko ehlaziyayo.
    4. a “Kulibaziseke Ukuvalwa” imeko, apho ubomi bezityalo zamalahle zelizwe buya kwandiswa ngeminyaka emininzi.
    5. a “Amalahle aHlaziywa ngokutsha” Imeko, apho igesi entsha kunye nezityalo zamalahle ezicocekileyo ziya kuthatha indawo yombane welanga okanye inyukliya kwezinye iimeko.

Yintoni iSicwangciso esiHlangeneyo seZibonelelo?

I-Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) sisicwangciso esiphilayo ekulindeleke ukuba sihlaziywe rhoqo njengoko kuyimfuneko ngokutshintsha kweemeko.

Eyona njongo iphambili ye-IRP kukuqinisekisa ukhuseleko lobonelelo lombane oluyimfuneko ngokulungelelanisa unikezelo kunye nemfuno, ngelixa kuqwalaselwa imo engqongileyo kunye neendleko zizonke zobonelelo.

UMzantsi Afrika uyaqhubeka nokulandela umxube wamandla owahlukeneyo oza kubonelela ngokhuseleko lobonelelo ngelixa uqinisekisa ukuthotyelwa kwesicwangciso sawo sokunciphisa ukukhutshwa komoya ongcolileyo. Indlela uMzantsi Afrika osebenza ngayo kukhuseleko lwamandla ihambelana neendlela kunye nophuhliso lwamazwe ngamazwe kwaye ibandakanya ukuveliswa kombane ovela kwiCoal, Nuclear, Gas, Renewables, Hydro, Storage Technology, kunye neHydrogen.

ISicwangciso esiHlangeneyo seZibonelelo sowama-2023

    1. IKhabhinethi ithathele ingqalelo yaza yalwamkela ukupapashwa kweSicwangciso esiHlangeneyo seMithombo sowama-2023 ukuze uluntu luhlomle kwaye lubonisane. Idrafti ye-IRP 2023 iphonononga i-IRP 2019 evunyiweyo kwaye ibandakanya i-horizons izihlandlo ezibini, ezizezi, i-2030 kunye ne-2050 time horizons. Uqikelelo oluninzi olungundoqo olusetyenziswe kwi-IRP yowama-2019 lutshintshe kakhulu, kubandakanywa ingqikelelo yemfuno yombane, inkalo yokufumaneka kwamandla kaEskom, isicwangciso sokuvala umbane ka-Eskom sombane wamalahle, kwakunye neendleko zeteknoloji entsha yokuvelisa umbane.
    2. I-2030-time horizon (I-Horizon One) igxile ekujonganeni nemiqobo ekhoyo yokuvelisa amandla, ngelixa i-2031 - 2050 ixesha lexesha (I-Horizon 2) igxile kuhlalutyo lweendlela zokuxuba amandla okhuseleko oluzinzileyo lonikezelo.
    3. Kuba Horizon One – kuye kwaphuhliswa iimeko ezintlanu zavavanywa ngokusekelwe kwimeko yokulungela iiprojekthi ezisendleleni. Iimeko eziqwalaselwayo ziquka okokuqala i-RMIPPPP, i-REIPPPP 5 kunye neeprojekthi zoshishino ezisakhiwayo ngoku. Okwesibini, onke amaphulo eprojekthi anomhla wokusebenza kwezorhwebo (COD) kunye nendawo ethile. Okwesithathu, onke amalinge eprojekthi abandakanya lawo angenawo ugcino lwamandla egridi, iCOD, kunye nendawo echaziweyo. Ukongeza, iimeko ezimbini, enye equka ireferensi yetyala kunye nenkqubo yangoku yegesi, kwaye enye isekelwe ekusebenzeni okuphuculweyo kweplanti ngokwesicwangciso sokubuyisela isizukulwana iye yamodareyithwa.
    4. KwiHorizon 2, iindlela ezintandathu zamandla zaqwalaselwa ukuba zivavanye impembelelo yobuchwepheshe bamandla obahlukeneyo ekuqinisekiseni ukhuseleko lwenkqubo yamandla yelizwe ngexabiso elincinane kuqoqosho. Indlela yereferensi iseka ibhenchmark ngokuchasene nezinye iindlela kwaye isekelwe kwiindleko ezincinci. Ezinye iindlela ezintlanu zisekelwe kwimigaqo ethile ekhokelayo yomgaqo-nkqubo kwaye ziyilelwe ukuba zibe nokuphonononga ngokwendalo. Le mithetho-siseko yomgaqo-nkqubo yaqulunqwa kugxininiswa ekususweni kwekhabhoni kwinkqubo yamandla, ukuvalwa kwezikhululo zamandla ezibaswa ngamalahle esele zikhona emva kowama-2035, kunye nokuphonononga ubugcisa bamalahle obucocekileyo kuquka nokubanjwa kwekhabhoni.

IKhabhinethi ivumile ukupapashwa kweSicwangciso seZixhobo eziDibeneyo sika-2023 esifuna izimvo ezibhaliweyo zikawonke-wonke. Nangona kunjalo, iBusiness Unity South Africa ilumkisa ukuba ukungabikho kweenkcukacha kuyilo kuya kwenza kube nzima ukuvavanya ukuthembeka kwesicwangciso. Injineli eyintloko kwiYunivesithi yaseStellenbosch uMonique Le Roux kunye nentloko yeSebe lezoBugcisa bezaMandla kunye neSouth African National Energy Development Institute uNjingalwazi uSampson Mamphweli baxoxa ngoku ngakumbi.